Papers
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Working Papers
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Power Rules: Practical Statistical Power Calculations
May 27, 2024. Carlisle Rainey. In-progress.
PDF
An early draft of a paper on understanding and computing statistical power for applied researchers.
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Use and Misuse of a Fast Approximation: Not a Criticism, but a Caution
Apr 19, 2024. Carlisle Rainey. Working paper.
Preprint
A commentary on Replication value as a function of citation impact and sample size in Meta-Psychology
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The Data Availability Policies of Political Science Journals
Feb 15, 2024. Carlisle Rainey, Harley Roe. Working paper.
Preprint Dataverse
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Data and Code Availability in Political Science Publications from 1995 to 2022
Jan 21, 2024. Carlisle Rainey, Harley Roe, Qing Wang, Hao Zhou. Working paper.
Preprint Dataverse
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Overt Consequences of Covert Actions: Success, Failure, and Voters’ Preferences for Legislative Oversight
Jan 8, 2024. Caroline Robbins, Alessandro Brunelli, José Castro, Ainsley Coty, Andrew Louis, Bryanna Major, María Alemán Martínez, Yadianis Lara Ojeda, Larissa Pontes, Elke Schumacher, Omer Turkomer, Luzmi Valenzuela, Valeria Veras, Carlisle Rainey. Working paper.
Preprint OSF Preregistration
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The Dissent Score: Using Events Data to Measure Dissent
Dec 23, 2023. Carlisle Rainey, Harley Roe, Qing Wang, Nick Dietrich. Working paper.
Project Website Preprint
The dissent score data set is available on Dataverse.
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Generational Differences in Abortion Attitudes in the United States: Will Dobbs v. Jackson Become Starkly Counter-Majoritarian?
Oct 13, 2023. Carlisle Rainey, Robert Jackson. Working paper.
Preprint Dataverse
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Generation Effects on Americans' Symbolic Ideology and Attitudes Toward the Economic Role of Government
Aug 2, 2023. Robert Jackson, Carlisle Rainey. Working paper.
Preprint
Forthcoming
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Estimators for Topic-Sampling Designs
May 13, 2024. Scott Clifford, Carlisle Rainey. Forthcoming at Political Analysis.
Open Access Preprint
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The Limits (and Strengths) of Single-Topic Experiments
Mar 20, 2024. Scott Clifford, Carlisle Rainey. Conditionally accepted at Political Analysis.
Preprint
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Generalizing Survey Experiments Using Topic Sampling: An Application to Party Cues
Mar 26, 2023. Scott Clifford, Thomas Leeper, Carlisle Rainey. Forthcoming at Political Behavior.
PDF Publisher's Version Dataverse
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A Careful Consideration of CLARIFY: Simulation-Induced Bias in Point Estimates of Quantities of Interest
Mar 26, 2023. Carlisle Rainey. Forthcoming at Political Science Research and Methods.
Errata PDF Open Access Dataverse GitHub
Published Papers
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Hypothesis Tests Under Separation
2024. Carlisle Rainey. Political Analysis.
Open Access Preprint Dataverse OSF
See also Rainey (2016)
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Estimating Logit Models with Small Samples
2021. Carlisle Rainey, Kelly McCaskey. Political Science Research and Methods.
PDF Open Access Dataverse
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When BLUE Is Not Best: Non-Normal Errors and the Linear Model
2020. Daniel Baissa, Carlisle Rainey. Political Science Research and Methods.
PDF Publisher's Version Dataverse
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Unreliable Inferences about Unobservable Processes: A Critique of Partial Observability Models
2018. Carlisle Rainey, Robert Jackson. Political Science Research and Methods.
PDF Publisher's Version Dataverse
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Transformation-Induced Bias: Unbiased Coefficients Do Not Imply Unbiased Quantities of Interest
2017. Carlisle Rainey. Political Analysis.
PDF Publisher's Version Dataverse
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Compression and Conditional Effects: A Product Term Is Essential When Using Logistic Regression to Test for Interaction
2016. Carlisle Rainey. Political Science Research and Methods.
PDF Publisher's Version Appendix Dataverse
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Dealing with Separation in Logistic Regression Models
2016. Carlisle Rainey. Political Analysis.
PDF Publisher's Version Appendix Dataverse
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Does District Magnitude Matter: The Case of Taiwan
2016. Carlisle Rainey. Electoral Studies.
PDF Publisher's Version Dataverse
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Strategic Mobilization: Why Proportional Representation Decreases Voter Mobilization
2015. Carlisle Rainey. Electoral Studies.
PDF Publisher's Version Appendix Dataverse
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Substantive Importance and the Veil of Statistical Significance
2015. Kelly McCaskey, Carlisle Rainey. Statistics, Politics, and Policy.
PDF Publisher's Version GitHub
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Moral Concerns and Policy Attitudes: Investigating the Influence of Elite Rhetoric
2015. Scott Clifford, Jennifer Jerit, Carlisle Rainey, Matt Motyl. Political Communication.
PDF Publisher's Version
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The Politics of Need: Examining Governors' Decisions to Oppose the 'Obamacare' Medicaid Expansion
2014. Charles Barrillleaux, Carlisle Rainey. State Politics and Policy Quarterly.
PDF Publisher's Version Appendix Dataverse
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The Question(s) of Political Knowledge
2014. Jason Barabas, Jennifer Jerit, William Pollock, Carlisle Rainey. American Political Science Review.
PDF Publisher's Version Dataverse
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Arguing for a Negligible Effect
2014. Carlisle Rainey. American Journal of Political Science.
PDF Publisher's Version Appendix Dataverse